We're a group of traders working together to build better winning strategies on prediction markets. Nothing here is for sale. Everything we've built so far — every strategy, every tool, every line of code — is free. We share what we have so we can all get better.
Prediction markets are a zero-sum game against the house — but they don't have to be a zero-sum game against each other. We believe traders working together, sharing data, and stress-testing strategies outperform anyone trading alone.
We're building automated trading strategies for Kalshi prediction markets. Cross-market arbitrage, live sports edges, behavioral plays — all paper-tested, all transparent. We share our results, our failures, and our code so the group learns faster.
Everything we have is free. Our strategies, our tools, our data, our chat room. No paywalls, no premium tiers, no "join my course" nonsense. If you have ideas to improve what we're building, bring them. That's how we all win.
Buy YES on Kalshi when it's cheaper than sportsbook consensus. Confirmed mathematical edge.
Compares every Kalshi "Winner?" market against sportsbook consensus odds from 20+ bookmakers. Only trades when Kalshi is 5%+ cheaper than books. Quarter-Kelly position sizing for optimal bet amounts.
Learn more →Pulls real-time odds from The Odds API. Median consensus across all bookmakers. Kalshi price vs bookie implied probability = your edge.
THE ODDS API →Dynamic bet sizing: f* = (edge × price) / (1 - price). Quarter-Kelly for safety. 10% edge at 70¢ = ~5.8% of bankroll. Capped at 10% max.
QUARTER-KELLY →Only trades with 5%+ edge (covers fees + slippage). 5-8% = modest, 8-12% = strong, 12%+ = very strong conviction. More bookmakers = higher score.
5%+ EDGE →Scored at 95/100 in the strategy ranking. Confirmed mathematical edge beats behavioral strategies. Always executes first when available.
SCORE: 95 →Score changes → trade before Kalshi adjusts. The fastest signal in the engine.
Monitors ESPN live scores every 30 seconds. When a team scores, Kalshi prices lag by seconds — we buy before the market adjusts. 60-second cooldown between trades per game.
View live data →Each scoring event triggers a Kalshi market lookup. If the market hasn't adjusted yet, buy the scoring team's YES. Edge decays in seconds — speed is everything.
REAL-TIME →Works across NHL, MLB, soccer (UCL, EPL, MLS, Serie A, La Liga, Bundesliga), tennis (ATP), and cricket (IPL). Each sport has custom scoring probability models.
8+ LEAGUES →60-second cooldown per game prevents over-trading on rapid scoring sequences. Only fires on genuine score changes, not clock updates.
60S COOLDOWN →Scored at 85/100. Fastest edge in the system — other strategies need minutes, this fires in seconds. Executes after Cross-Market +EV.
SCORE: 85 →Buy YES on 70-89¢ favorites during live games. ESPN-confirmed blowouts only.
Only trades when ESPN confirms a blowout in progress. Sweet spot: 71-89¢ entry price. Below 70¢ is a graveyard — skip entirely. Proven over 125+ trades.
View strategy →CS2 (+$6.09), ATP Tennis (+$6.00), LoL (+$3.87), Serie A, KBL, AFL, IPL, NHL. These sports have reliable blowout patterns.
PROVEN EDGE →NBA (comebacks kill leads), WTA, NPB, UFL, ATP Challenger, KBO. These sports have unpredictable momentum swings that break the strategy.
6 SPORTS BANNED →Min 70¢ (hard floor). NHL 80¢+. Soccer 75¢+. Tennis 65¢+. Max spread 5¢. Min volume 100. ESPN blowout confirmation required.
MULTI-LAYER →Scored at 80/100. Proven over 125 trades (+$2.55). Executes after Cross-Market and ESPN Edge. Sport/price tightening needed.
SCORE: 80 →Buy underdog YES when live prices overextend. Behavioral edge — markets overreact to scoring runs.
Monitors live prices for rapid drops (>10¢ in 5 minutes). When a team goes on a run, the market overreacts — we buy the underdog when prices overextend. Contrarian play.
View strategy →YES price drops >10¢ in 5 minutes = market overreaction. Buy the underdog at 5-35¢ range. If the game is closer than the market thinks, you profit.
CONTRARIAN →Take profit at 50¢+ (2x+ return). Stop-loss at 5¢. Cap at 2 contracts max — these are speculative bets with asymmetric payoff.
2x TARGET →The opposite of Live Blowout. Instead of buying the favorite on a run, buy the other team when the market overprices the lead. Research-backed behavioral edge.
RESEARCH-PROVEN →Scored at 60/100. Speculative — not confirmed mathematical edge. Small positions, asymmetric payoff. Executes last.
SCORE: 60 →